Research Program / Claims / precognition-6
Precognition does not violate free will; prediction indicates the 'correct' probability channel, and individual choice determines which channel becomes physicalized.
预知不违背自由意志,预测指向“正确”的概率通道,个体选择决定哪条通道被物质化。
Concept precognition · Domain Nonlinear Time and Self-Cognition · ontological claim · interface 3/3 · testability 3/3 · status untested · ★ fundable
This program treats the Seth Material as a source of hypotheses, not as doctrine to be validated. Lead dossiers are AI-compiled from the corpus with a book-and-session citation after every statement; literature reviews are AI web-search summaries whose references were all DOI-verified against Crossref; the agenda draft is an AI synthesis. None of it is Seth's original text, and none of it represents scientific consensus. English fields are machine-translated; the Chinese text is authoritative.
Seth sources (book §session)
Adjudicating experiment
Corresponding to supplementary question 4: approximately 400 participants record choice tendencies in dreams over 30 nights; the next day they perform decision tasks with real small monetary gains and are randomly prompted to maintain or reverse their original choice; a control task is set with targets independently randomly generated after the dream report and impossible for participants to influence. Pre-register dream-behavior consistency rate, reversal success rate, and external target matching rate, using participant-level hierarchical models over 9–12 months. One must specify in advance what probability predictions channel theory makes for external targets after reversal.
Suggested paper title
Dream-reported Preferences and Subsequent Choice Reversal in a Pre-registered Longitudinal Experiment
What it would overturn
If choice can alter causally isolated external random outcomes, it would modify the hypothesis that personal choice only affects subsequent events via ordinary causal paths.
Candidate labs / funders
Carey K. Morewedge,Boston University,判断与决策; Chris A. Roe,University of Northampton,异常认知的心理调节因素
Specificity of Seth's formulation
Allowing misses to be reinterpreted as having chosen another channel makes the theory unfalsifiable; only by first specifying the observable outcomes and switching conditions for each channel does it become more specific than a simple preference stability hypothesis.
Note
Consistency between dream choices and waking choices can be explained by stable preferences, memory, and suggestion; being able to reverse choices cannot alone adjudicate metaphysical free will.
Cite: Future Mind Institute, Seth Material Research Agenda, claim precognition-6, https://www.seth.org.cn/en/research/claims/precognition-6