Research Program / Claims / intuition-6

With persistent practice of intuitive prediction, one will eventually find oneself aware of certain future events.

坚持练习直觉预测,最终会发现自己对某些未来事件有觉察。

Concept intuition · Domain Intuitive–Rational Cognitive Integration · testable prediction · interface 3/3 · testability 3/3 · status contested · ★ fundable

This program treats the Seth Material as a source of hypotheses, not as doctrine to be validated. Lead dossiers are AI-compiled from the corpus with a book-and-session citation after every statement; literature reviews are AI web-search summaries whose references were all DOI-verified against Crossref; the agenda draft is an AI synthesis. None of it is Seth's original text, and none of it represents scientific consensus. English fields are machine-translated; the Chinese text is authoritative.

Seth sources (book §session)
Adjudicating experiment
Multi-center trial with approximately 1200 participants randomly assigned to 12 weeks of intuitive prediction practice or equal-time perceptual training; each participant completes at least 1000 two-alternative predictions; after answers are submitted and time-stamped, random targets are generated by an independent server, with locked data, stopping rules, and analysis code. The primary test examines accuracy change in the training group relative to the control and whether the final hold-out phase exceeds 50%, with participant and center as clustering units. Covering Supplementary Question 1: approximately 300 of these participants undergo multiple laboratory sessions with randomized high/low arousal, different valences, and varying personal relevance induction, with simultaneous skin conductance, heart rate, and respiration recording; pre-registered main effects of arousal, inverted-U relationships, and training interactions, controlling for previous trial outcomes and sequential expectancies. Total duration 6–9 months, with an independent confirmation sample.
Suggested paper title
Does Repeated Practice Improve Prediction of Future Random Outcomes? A Multicenter Pre-registered Trial
What it would overturn
If, after excluding leakage and generator bias, stable accurate prediction of randomly generated targets after response is obtained, this would challenge the assumption that "given all prior information, the answer is conditionally independent of independent future random targets."
Candidate labs / funders
Zoltan Kekecs,罗兰大学:Transparent Psi Project; Stefan Schmidt,弗赖堡大学及 Institute for Frontier Areas of Psychology and Mental Health; Patrizio Tressoldi,帕多瓦大学; Fetzer Franklin Fund of the John E. Fetzer Memorial Trust:相关重复研究的既往资助方
Specificity of Seth's formulation
It offers a directional prediction of improvement with practice, but without a minimum effect size, training dose, or clear deadline; "eventually" and "certain events" allow indefinite postponement or post hoc selection, requiring prior tightening.
Note
"Contested" does not mean the evidence is evenly balanced: strict replication studies have not stably reproduced the effect; emotional arousal may alter confidence and accuracy separately, both must be modeled separately, and ordinary cue-based prediction cannot prove precognition.
Evidence (3, DOI-verified via Crossref)

Cite: Future Mind Institute, Seth Material Research Agenda, claim intuition-6, https://www.seth.org.cn/en/research/claims/intuition-6